price patterns/chart patterns - Head and Shoulders Price/Chart Patterns Part 1

 
 

Head and Shoulders Price/Chart Patterns Part 1

Head and shoulders is a Reversal Patterns, at Tops The head and shoulders is probably the most reliable of all Price Patterns / Chart Patterns but it occurs at both market tops and market bottoms.

This typical Head and Shoulders (H&S) distribution pattern consists of a final rally (the head) separating two smaller, although not necessarily identical, rallies (the shoulders). If the two shoulders were trends of intermediate duration, the first shoulder would be the penultimate advance in the bull market, and the second the first bear market rally.

The head would, of course, represent the final intermediate rally in the bull market. Volume characteristics are of critical importance in assessing the validity of these patterns. Activity is normally heaviest during the formation of the left shoulder and also tends to be quite heavy as prices approach the peak. The real tip-off that an Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern is developing comes with the formation of the right shoulder, which is invariably accompanied by distinctly lower volume. Quite often, the level of volume contracts as the peak of the right shoulder is reached. The line joining the bottoms of the two shoulders is called the neckline.

The violation of the neckline also represents a signal that the previous series of rising peaks and troughs has now given way to at least one declining peak and trough. The right shoulder represents the first lower peak and the bottom of the move following the breakdown represents a lower trough.