price patterns/chart patterns -
Head and Shoulders Price/Chart Patterns Part 2
Head and Shoulders Price/Chart Patterns Part 2
Generally speaking, the longer the period, the
greater the amount of distribution that has
taken place, and therefore the longer the
ensuing trend is likely to be.
T
he measuring
formula for this price formation is the distance
between the head and the neckline projected
downward from the neckline. It follows that the deeper the pattern,
the greater its bearish significance once it
has been completed. Sometimes an Head and
Shoulders (H&S) completion
will be followed by a fairly extensive
downtrend; at others, the negative effect of the pattern will be quickly cancelled by the completion of a
base.
O
ften, traders
will observe the formation of an Head and
Shoulders (H&S) top and
anticipate a breakdown. This is an incorrect
tactic based on this evidence alone because it
is not known until later whether the prevailing
trend will continue or if a reversal signal will
be given with a decisive break below the
neckline. Many
analysts, who forecast a
bearish trend based on an incomplete Head and
Shoulders (H&S) top.
Remember, in technical analysis, the
prevailing trend is assumed to be in force until
the weight of the evidence proves otherwise.
An incomplete Head and Shoulders (H&S) is not evidence, just a
possible scenario.
H
ead
and Shoulders (H&S) patterns can
be formed in 10 to 15 minutes or take decades to
develop. Generally speaking, the longer the
period, the greater the amount of distribution
that has taken place, and therefore the longer
the ensuing bear trend is likely to be. The
larger Head and Shoulders (H&S) formations are often very complex
and comprise several smaller ones.