Logarithmic Scale or Ratio Scale Price/Chart Pattern
Prices plotted on a
ratio scale show identical distances for identical
percentage moves.
The
vertical distance between 1 and
2 (a 2:1 ratio) is 1/2 in. Similarly, the 2:1 distance between 4 and 2
is also represented on the chart as 1/2 in. A
specific vertical distance on the chart indicates
the same percentage change in the price being
measured, whatever the level. For example, if the
scale was extended, 1/2 in. would always
represent a doubling, from 1 to 2,16 to 32, 50 to
100, and so on, just as 1/2 in. would indicate a rise
of 50 percent and 1 in. would show a quadrupling of
prices. Almost all computer software gives the user
the option of choosing between arithmetic and
logarithmic scales.
It is important to
remember that market prices are a function of
psychological attitudes toward fundamental events.
Since these attitudes have a tendency to move
proportionately, it makes sense to plot them on a
scale that reflects proportionate moves equally.
The
importance of using logarithmic scales whenever
possible is the price has
traced out and broken down from a rectangle.
Projecting the vertical distance between 200 and 100
downward gives an objective of 0, clearly a very
unlikely possibility. On the other hand, uses the same projection based on a
logarithmic scale. In this case, a more
realistic objective of 50 is obtained.
I
f the minimal
objective proves to be the ultimate extension of
the new trend, a substantial amount of
accumulation or distribution, whichever is
appropriate, will usually occur before prices
can move in their original direction. Thus, if a
2-year rectangle is completed and the downward
price objective is reached, even though further
price erosion does not take place, it is still
usually, though certainly not always, necessary
for a base (accumulation) to be formed of
approximately the same size as the previous
distribution before a
valid uptrend can take place.
I
n many cases,
the price will move beyond the objective. In
really strong moves, it will move in multiples
of it, where the various multiples or the
objective itself becomes an important support
and resistance area.