price patterns/chart patterns -
Volume to Determine Valid Breakout
Volume to Determine Valid Breakout
Volume
is always measured relative to its recent past
and usually leads price and goes with the trend.
V
olume usually
goes with the trend; that is, volume advances
with a rising trend of prices and falls with a
declining one. This is a normal relationship,
and anything that diverges from this
characteristic should be considered a warning
sign that the prevailing price trend may be in
the process of reversing.
V
olume
represent the number of units of an asset (such
as shares or contracts) that changes hands
during a specific period.
Normally
the volume from the breakout is
high, it is relatively lower than that which
accompanied the price move. In relation to the overall
cycle, this is a bearish factor.
F
ollowing the
sharp price rise from the rectangle, enthusiasm
dies down as prices correct in a sideways
movement and volume contracts.
This is a perfectly normal relationship, since
volume is correcting (declining) with price.
Eventually, volume and price expand together,
and the primary upward trend is once again
confirmed. Finally, the buyers become exhausted,
and the price forms yet another rectangle
characterized, as before, by
falling volume, but this time destined to become
a reversal pattern.
V
olume contracts
throughout the formation of rectangle and
expands as prices break out on the downside.
This expanded level of activity associated with
the violation of support at the lower boundary
of the rectangle emphasizes the bearish nature
of the breakout, although expanding volume is
not a prerequisite for a valid signal with
downside breakouts, as it is for an upside move.
Following the downside breakout, more often than
not, prices will reverse and put on a small
recovery or retracement rally. This advance is
invariably accompanied by declining volume,
which itself reinforces the bearish
indications. It is halted at the lower end of
the rectangle, which now becomes an area of
resistance.