Moving Average
Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The MACD trading
method is a form of a trend-deviation indicator using
two MAs, the shorter being subtracted from the longer.
T
he
two MAs are usually calculated on an exponential basis,
in which more recent periods are more heavily weighted
than in the case of a simple MA. It is normal for the
MACD to then be smoothed by a third exponential
moving average (EMA), which is plotted separately on the
chart.
This average is known as the signal line,
the crossovers of which generate buy and sell signals.
This indicator obtains its name from the fact that the
two EMAs are continually converging and then diverging
from each other. The MACD has gained great popularity
over the years, but in effect, it is really just another
variation on a trend-deviation indicator that employs
two EMAs as its method of deviation.
M
ACDs can be used with
many different time periods. It is
recommends that buy signals on a daily chart be
constructed from a combination of 8, 17, and 9
exponential MAs, but that sell signals are more
reliable when triggered on the basis of a 12, 25, and 9
combination. On the other hand, the popular MetaStock
program plots the default values as 12 and 17 with the
signal line at 9.
A
lternatively,
the MACD
can be plotted as a smoother series using two
relatively long-term MAs. This more deliberate series
then lends itself better to signal-line crossovers. For
example, on hourly charts, a 65/90 combination with a
12-period signal line appears to work quite well. The
same principle can be applied to daily, weekly, or
monthly charts. Ironically the default time span used
for daily charts (26/12 with a 9-day signal line)
appears to work better on monthly ones because it
manages to retain the primary trend swings yet the
signal line whipsaw crossovers are kept to a minimum.